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A Blessing in Disguise for Astute Investors
A “snowball” problem for America that just won’t go away could be a blessing in disguise for astute investors… Manufacturing jobs have fallen steadily since the 1950s. Low-wage countries, especially...
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What It Will Take for Me to BecomeBullish on the U.S. Stock Market
We’re in the lull between earnings seasons and investors have only economic news and geopolitical events to go on. Being an election year, you can bet that policymakers in the U.S. and Europe will be...
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How China’s Craving for Raw Materials Will Affect You
I have long been a supporter of looking for growth in Chinese stocks. The reverse merger fiasco concerning fraud at numerous Chinese reverse merger companies killed the positive bias towards Chinese...
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Who We Can Thank for Dow Jones 13,000
Investors are excited about the fact that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has touched 13,000—a four-year high—as it rides the bear market rally higher. Let’s take a step back, dear reader, and explore...
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What We Can’t Forget About in the Stock Market Today
Street analysts are saying that, because of higher oil prices, the Dow Jones Transportation Average is showing a real divergence from the rest of the stock market. According to Dow Theory, confirmation...
View ArticleConfirmation Eurozone Headed to Recession in 2012
The European Union is making it official. It is now saying that the European Union as a whole will experience a recession in 2012, something I predicted in the first couple of weeks of January (in...
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Changing of the Guard for World’s Largest Gold Buyer
For as long as anyone can remember, India has been the largest gold bullion buyer. But, for 2012, China may overtake it. In 2011, gold bullion demand in China surged 20% to 769.8 tons, while in India,...
View ArticleU.S. Will Not Escape Economic Slowdown in Europe and Asia
It’s looking more and more as if 2012 will disappoint and be a year of economic slowdown, not growth. The largest economies in Asia, India and China continue to exhibit signs their economic slowdown is...
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Dow Theory Flashes Classic Stock Market Warning
The Dow Theory, a reliable indicator of stock market and economic direction that has been around for almost 100 years, is flashing a warning signal. The Dow Theory looks at the relationship between the...
View ArticleU.S. Consumer Spending Contracting, Personal Income Falling
It seems the real economy doesn’t want to cooperate with interest rates at record lows, record-high government debt levels, and the fattest Fed balance sheet on record. For November and December of...
View ArticleCracks in European Union Starting to Widen
The cracks in the European Union are starting to widen. Spain’s unemployment rate as of the end of 2011 is at a staggering 22.83%, while gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to fall by 1.7% in 2012...
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China’s Gold Rush
Over the last few years, the China government has implemented new measures to make its currency—the yuan—an open currency to be used by investors globally. Ten years ago, it was very difficult for even...
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Why the Great Wall of China’s Still Standing
The Great Wall of China is not crumbling down as some are starting to suggest following news that Chinese premier Wen Jiabao cut the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) target to an eight-year low...
View ArticleChina’s Economic Growth to Come Crashing Down?
In terms of what economic growth will look like in 2012, the mainstream is sticking to the “muddling along” economic forecast theory. Just as in 2011, the economic forecast talk is of the U.S. being...
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Will the Real Inflation Rate Please Stand Up?
The American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), a not-for-profit research group, believes that the Consumer Price Index (CPI)—as measured by the government—does not reflect the true inflation rate...
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Gold-buying Opportunity—What Price to Watch for
Gold prices have been all over the chart and moving in a sideways consolidation channel since late September, caught between $1,800 on the top end and $1,550 on the bottom. After a recent move towards...
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Expect Big Increases to Dividends Over the Next Few Quarters
There’s been a lot of news related to increased dividends and this is a very positive sign for the stock market. Even if there aren’t big expectations for capital gains from stocks, institutional...
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The Stock Market & Oil Prices: A Dangerous Duo
It really is the perfect environment for higher oil prices, which is both good and bad for the U.S. economy. Higher oil prices reflect a better economic outlook, as speculators bet on better gross...
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What the FedEx Warning Means for Your Investments
With the recent corporate earnings release from shipping giant FedEx Corporation (NYSE/FDX) also came some dark clouds for the future. The company issued some downbeat estimates for the rest of the...
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China & India vs. Japan: The Best Place to Put Your Capital
Making money in Japanese stocks continues to be a battle. Since the benchmark Nikkei 225 peaked in 1990 at just below 39,000, the price chart showed multiple failures to halt the downside trend. From...
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